Erin, the first hurricane of the season, exploded to a Category 5 hurricane Saturday, and despite fluctuations in intensity, the storm is remaining formidable this weekend. Here's where it could head in the week ahead.

Hurricane Erin on Sunday dropped in intensity overnight, but was expected to regain strength while its path shifted prompting new warnings and watches to be issued by the Bahamas while the

Erin is producing maximum sustained winds of 125 mph (205 km/h) and a central pressure of 940 mb. The storm is moving west‑northwest at 14 mph (22 km/h). Outer rainbands have been producing gusty winds and heavy rainfall across the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico since Saturday night.

A westward-moving tropical wave could produce an area of low pressure in the tropical Atlantic late in the week of Aug. 18, the hurricane center said on Aug. 16. The center shows a 20% chance of storm formation over the next week.

Invest 98L could become a short-lived tropical depression before moving inland over northeastern Mexico or southern Texas later today. The National Hurricane Center is tracking two systems in the Atlantic basin, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

Erin has strengthened into a hurricane as it approaches Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, bringing heavy rains that could cause flooding and landslides.